Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas vs Tigres UANL

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Joaquim In: Brunetta J.
Out: Joaquim
35'
Gorriaran F.
37'
Gonzalez D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Atlas
11%
Draws
9%
Tigres UANL
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Atlas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tigres UANL lately — more wins on the board than Atlas.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Atlas taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atlas Clean Sheet 68%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas Tigres UANL
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs Tigres UANL
0:0
Sep 25, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Atlas
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Atlas
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Liga MX
Atlas vs Tigres UANL
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Atlas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 86 / 100
Tigres UANL 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas Tigres UANL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Tigres UANL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Atlas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS Tigres UANL
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
26 Jul
Santos Laguna
0 : 1
Atlas
18 Jul
Club Leon
2 : 3
Atlas
10 Jul
Atlas
3 : 4
Puebla
04 Jul
Atlas
0 : 0
Necaxa
01 Jul
Atlas
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

Tigres UANL

(Away)
26 Jul
Tigres UANL
2 : 2
Atletico San Luis
17 Jul
Club Tijuana
3 : 1
Tigres UANL
31 May
Toluca
2 : 1
Tigres UANL
10 May
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
06 May
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)