Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas vs UNAM Pumas

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Jalisco
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlas play UNAM Pumas in the Liga MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atlas averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. UNAM Pumas averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Atlas won 1, UNAM Pumas won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Atlas and 1.44 for UNAM Pumas. This points to a UNAM Pumas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Atlas
33%
Draws
40%
UNAM Pumas
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: UNAM Pumas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atlas.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for UNAM Pumas.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga MX 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Atlas Clean Sheet 16%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas UNAM Pumas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs UNAM Pumas
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Atlas
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Atlas
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Liga MX
Atlas vs UNAM Pumas
2:1
Feb 15, 2024 Liga MX
Atlas vs UNAM Pumas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capasso M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

UNAM Pumas Compare

Top Goalscorer Vite P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 28 / 100
UNAM Pumas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas UNAM Pumas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

UNAM Pumas let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Atlas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

UNAM Pumas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS UNAM Pumas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812