Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas vs UNAM Pumas

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Azuaje A.
Assist: Vite P.
35'
Sub
Lopes L. In: Zenon K.
Out: Lopes L.
44'
Sub
Capasso M. In: Aguirre G.
Out: Capasso M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Atlas and UNAM Pumas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Atlas
30%
Draws
29%
UNAM Pumas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atlas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atlas a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atlas Clean Sheet 20%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas UNAM Pumas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs UNAM Pumas
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga MX
Atlas vs UNAM Pumas
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Atlas
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Atlas
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Liga MX
Atlas vs UNAM Pumas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteves L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

UNAM Pumas Compare

Top Goalscorer Azuaje A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas 42 / 100
UNAM Pumas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas UNAM Pumas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: UNAM Pumas conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Atlas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas VS UNAM Pumas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas

(Home)
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
23 Aug
Cruz Azul
0 : 2
Atlas
16 Aug
Atlas
2 : 1
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas

(Away)
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
24 Aug
UNAM Pumas
1 : 1
Necaxa
16 Aug
UNAM Pumas
0 : 0
Queretaro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 8 6 1 1 18:6 19
2 Guadalajara Chivas 9 5 3 1 17:8 18
3 Club America 8 5 2 1 17:8 17
4 Cruz Azul 9 5 0 4 16:15 15
5 Puebla 9 4 2 3 11:11 14
6 Atlas 9 4 2 3 13:15 14
7 Monterrey 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
8 Queretaro 7 4 1 2 10:7 13
9 Club Leon 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
10 Club Tijuana 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
11 UNAM Pumas 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
12 Pachuca 8 3 2 3 13:8 11
13 Atletico San Luis 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
14 Atlante 9 1 5 3 8:13 8
15 Necaxa 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
16 Tigres UANL 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
17 Santos Laguna 8 1 1 6 6:13 4
18 Juarez 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)