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Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Colomos
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atlas W play Cruz Azul W in the Liga MX Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atlas W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Cruz Azul W averaged 2.16 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Atlas W won 0, Cruz Azul W won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 4:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Atlas W and 2.88 for Cruz Azul W. This points to a Cruz Azul W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Atlas W
33%
Draws
43%
Cruz Azul W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cruz Azul W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Atlas W picked up more points recently compared to Cruz Azul W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 10%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas W Cruz Azul W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W
4:6
Jul 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Atlas W
4:0
Jan 31, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Atlas W
0:0
May 4, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Cruz Azul W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Huerta R. F. T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanu U.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas W 24 / 100
Cruz Azul W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas W Cruz Azul W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cruz Azul W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atlas W attacking → ← attacking Cruz Azul W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Cruz Azul W let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Atlas W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cruz Azul W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 50
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624