Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlas W vs Juarez W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Colomos, Zapopan
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Villalobos N.
38' Event
Maldonado M.
39'
Sanchez Stickel E. R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Atlas W and Juarez W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juarez W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Atlas W
15%
Draws
58%
Juarez W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Juarez W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Juarez W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 14%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas W Juarez W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Juarez W
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Atlas W
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Atlas W
1:0
Sep 4, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Juarez W
1:0
Mar 4, 2024 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Atlas W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maldonado M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Juarez W Compare

Top Goalscorer Solorzano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abud K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas W 10 / 100
Juarez W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas W Juarez W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atlas W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Atlas W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Juarez W conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atlas W VS Juarez W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas W

(Home)
20 Sept
Club America W
2 : 2
Atlas W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
6 : 1
Atlas W
25 Aug
Atlas W
2 : 0
Club Tijuana W
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Juarez W

(Away)
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
30 Aug
Juarez W
1 : 0
Cruz Azul W
23 Aug
Juarez W
3 : 2
Santos Laguna W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)