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Atlas W vs Pachuca W Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Martinez A. In: Flores K.
Out: Martinez A.
28' Event
Villalobos N.
46'
Sub
Valadez Y. In: Caicedo K.
Out: Valadez Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Atlas W
15%
Draws
26%
Pachuca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atlas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Atlas W haven't matched Pachuca W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Atlas W Clean Sheet 12%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlas W Pachuca W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.37 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Pachuca W
1:1
Jan 7, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Pachuca W
0:3
Aug 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Atlas W
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Atlas W
4:1
Apr 24, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atlas W vs Pachuca W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalobos N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlas W 30 / 100
Pachuca W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlas W Pachuca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atlas W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Pachuca W conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Atlas W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlas W VS Pachuca W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlas W

(Home)
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
20 Sept
Club America W
2 : 2
Atlas W
12 Sept
Atlas W
1 : 0
Atlante W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Atletico San Luis W
6 : 1
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

Pachuca W

(Away)
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
30 Aug
Tigres UANL W
2 : 0
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 9 8 0 1 35:10 24
2 Tigres UANL W 9 7 1 1 29:9 22
3 Juarez W 9 7 0 2 14:6 21
4 Toluca W 9 6 1 2 23:15 19
5 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
6 Santos Laguna W 9 4 0 5 12:20 12
7 Cruz Azul W 9 4 0 5 11:21 12
8 Atlante W 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
9 Queretaro W 9 2 0 7 10:21 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 9 8 1 0 42:7 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 9 6 0 3 20:11 18
3 Atletico San Luis W 9 5 1 3 22:16 16
4 UNAM Pumas W 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 9 3 1 5 13:13 10
7 Club Tijuana W 9 2 0 7 12:24 6
8 Puebla W 9 1 0 8 13:38 3
9 Necaxa W 9 0 0 9 3:36 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)