Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atlet Kiev vs Real Pharma Odesa

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Movchan N.
53' Event
Babych R.
71' Event
Movchan N.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2025/2026 game between Atlet Kiev and Real Pharma Odesa finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlet Kiev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Atlet Kiev
17%
Draws
13%
Real Pharma Odesa
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atlet Kiev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Atlet Kiev carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atlet Kiev a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Atlet Kiev have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atlet Kiev Clean Sheet 20%
Real Pharma Odesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atlet Kiev Real Pharma Odesa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 1
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 1.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Druha Liga
Atlet Kiev vs Real Pharma Odesa
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 Druha Liga
Atlet Kiev vs Real Pharma Odesa
4:2
Sep 27, 2025 Druha Liga
Real Pharma Odesa vs Atlet Kiev
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atlet Kiev Compare

Top Goalscorer Movchan N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Babych R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Real Pharma Odesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atlet Kiev 67 / 100
Real Pharma Odesa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atlet Kiev Real Pharma Odesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pharma Odesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Atlet Kiev's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Real Pharma Odesa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atlet Kiev VS Real Pharma Odesa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atlet Kiev

(Home)
03 Aug
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
15 May
Skala 1911
3 : 1
Atlet Kiev
10 May
Atlet Kiev
1 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
06 May
Nyva Ternopil 2
3 : 1
Atlet Kiev
01 May
Atlet Kiev
0 : 0
Zhytomyr 2
Page 1 of 6

Real Pharma Odesa

(Away)
22 May
Real Pharma Odesa
0 : 3
Kulikiv
10 May
Bukovyna 2
2 : 1
Real Pharma Odesa
01 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 2
Real Pharma Odesa
25 Apr
Real Pharma Odesa
:
Lisne
25 Apr
Real Pharma Odesa
1 : 5
FC Vilkhivtsi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kulikiv 30 21 5 4 58:18 68
2 Zhytomyr 2 30 18 9 3 69:22 63
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 30 15 6 9 42:32 51
4 Nyva Ternopil 2 30 16 2 12 30:43 50
5 Atlet Kiev 30 14 4 12 45:48 46
6 FC Uzhhorod 30 13 5 12 40:37 44
7 Skala 1911 30 13 5 12 62:48 44
8 FC Vilkhivtsi 30 12 5 13 50:46 41
9 Bukovyna 2 30 7 6 17 31:57 27
10 Real Pharma Odesa 30 1 4 25 18:96 7
11 Lisne 30 8 3 19 32:30 27
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotyv Kyiv 30 22 4 4 65:16 70
2 Kolos Kovalivka 2 30 21 6 3 64:22 69
3 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 30 17 6 7 58:41 57
4 Rebel Kyiv 30 15 5 10 34:27 50
5 Livyi Bereg 2 30 13 9 8 50:28 48
6 Trostyanets 30 13 8 9 46:31 47
7 Oleksandriya 2 30 12 8 10 37:32 44
8 Ch. Odesa 2 30 5 9 16 25:56 24
9 Dinaz Vyshgorod 30 5 4 21 26:62 19
10 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 30 3 8 19 27:64 17
11 Hirnyk-Sport 30 3 5 22 20:73 14
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)