Sport Picks

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Atletic Escaldes vs Penya

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026 Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Berlanga D.
40'
Ahumada R.
47'
Carpio Y.

AI Match Summary

Atletic Escaldes in this Primera Divisió 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletic Escaldes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Atletic Escaldes
30%
Draws
16%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletic Escaldes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletic Escaldes have won more games recently than Penya.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Atletic Escaldes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletic Escaldes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Atletic Escaldes Clean Sheet 68%
Penya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletic Escaldes Penya
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.67 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Atletic Escaldes
1:1
May 17, 2026 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Atletic Escaldes
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Primera Divisió
Atletic Escaldes vs Penya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletic Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Berlanga D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piloto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Penya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletic Escaldes 68 / 100
Penya 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletic Escaldes Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletic Escaldes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletic Escaldes scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Penya let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Atletic Escaldes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletic Escaldes VS Penya
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletic Escaldes

(Home)
20 Sept
Casa de Portugal
0 : 3
Atletic Escaldes
12 Sept
Atletic Escaldes
4 : 1
Sporting Escaldes
09 Sept
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
30 Jul
Atletic Escaldes
0 : 2
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

Penya

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)