Sport Picks
Atletico Albericia vs Guarnizo
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 
Match Events
53'
53'
Musy A.
56'
56'
Ocejo G.
63'
63'
Musy A.
AI Match Summary
Guarnizo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarnizo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Atletico Albericia haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Guarnizo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 12%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Albericia | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Guarnizo
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Atletico Albericia
1:4
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Guarnizo
1:3
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Atletico Albericia
3:2
Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Guarnizo
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Albericia Compare
Top Goalscorer Vergara Elbal M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Guarnizo Compare
Top Goalscorer Musy A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ocejo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Albericia 30 / 100
Guarnizo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Albericia Guarnizo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Atletico Albericia scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Difficult form: Guarnizo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Guarnizo let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Albericia VS Guarnizo
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Albericia
(Home) 27 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2 Solares
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0 Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2 CD Laredo
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1 Atletico Albericia
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4 Selaya
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2 Solares
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2 CD Laredo
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4 Selaya
18 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 2 Vimenor
01 Apr
Atletico Albericia
0 : 1 CD Tropezon
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Guarnizo
(Away) 26 Sept
Guarnizo
3 : 1 Velarde
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1 Guarnizo
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | CD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
