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Atletico Arcos vs AD Limianos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Morais M.
22' Event
Cerqueira J.
74' Event
Salvador A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 game between Atletico Arcos and AD Limianos finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Limianos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Atletico Arcos
20%
Draws
73%
AD Limianos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • AD Limianos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AD Limianos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AD Limianos have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 12%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Arcos AD Limianos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Atletico Arcos vs AD Limianos
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Atletico Arcos
2:1
Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Atletico Arcos vs AD Limianos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Arcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Morais M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerqueira J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salvador A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Arcos 10 / 100
AD Limianos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Arcos AD Limianos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arcos scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

AD Limianos let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Atletico Arcos remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Arcos VS AD Limianos
0 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Arcos

(Home)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
13 Apr
Paredes
1 : 1
Atletico Arcos
05 Apr
Atletico Arcos
1 : 3
AD Limianos
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Brito
3 : 1
Atletico Arcos
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AD Limianos

(Away)
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
18 Apr
SC Vianense
4 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)