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Atletico Arcos vs Tirsense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Rodrigues D.
74' Event
Mesquita B.

AI Match Summary

Tirsense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Atletico Arcos
15%
Draws
76%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Tirsense have won more games recently than Atletico Arcos.
  • Win probability leans Tirsense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 15%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Arcos Tirsense
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 7 18
Draws 6 12
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Atletico Arcos vs Tirsense
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Atletico Arcos
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Arcos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mesquita B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Arcos 10 / 100
Tirsense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Arcos Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arcos found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Tirsense conceded in 55% of 42 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atletico Arcos stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Arcos VS Tirsense
0 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Arcos

(Home)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
13 Apr
Paredes
1 : 1
Atletico Arcos
05 Apr
Atletico Arcos
1 : 3
AD Limianos
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Brito
3 : 1
Atletico Arcos
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Tirsense

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)