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Atletico Arteixo vs Barco

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Otero A.
8' Event
Otero A.
30' Event
Otero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Atletico Arteixo and Barco finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Arteixo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Atletico Arteixo
30%
Draws
41%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Arteixo come out ahead of Barco on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atletico Arteixo a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Atletico Arteixo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico Arteixo Clean Sheet 68%
Barco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Arteixo Barco
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Barco
5:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Atletico Arteixo
0:3
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs Atletico Arteixo
1:2
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Barco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Arteixo Compare

Top Goalscorer Otero A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Rojo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Barco Compare

Top Goalscorer Freiria M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Arteixo 46 / 100
Barco 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Arteixo Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Arteixo scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Atletico Arteixo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Arteixo VS Barco
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Arteixo

(Home)
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
05 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Atletico Arteixo
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 6

Barco

(Away)
27 Sept
Lalin
1 : 1
Barco
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)