Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Ascoli vs Calcio Chieti

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Monsif K.
23' Event
Maio F.
32' Event
Minicucci M.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ascoli host Calcio Chieti in the Serie D - Group F. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Calcio Chieti have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Atletico Ascoli have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Atletico Ascoli slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.94, favoring Atletico Ascoli. Atletico Ascoli in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atletico Ascoli
40%
Draws
29%
Calcio Chieti
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Ascoli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Calcio Chieti.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group F provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ascoli Calcio Chieti
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Calcio Chieti
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Atletico Ascoli
0:3
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Calcio Chieti
2:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Atletico Ascoli
1:2
Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Atletico Ascoli
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Maio F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minicucci M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Calcio Chieti Compare

Top Goalscorer Monsif K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ascoli 32 / 100
Calcio Chieti 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ascoli Calcio Chieti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ascoli scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Calcio Chieti let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Atletico Ascoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Calcio Chieti lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ascoli VS Calcio Chieti
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ostiamare34247365:2579
2Ancona34237459:2276
3Teramo342111265:2974
4Atletico Ascoli341413755:3555
5Notaresco Calcio341312943:3151
6Aquila Calcio341491153:4451
7Giulianova341116740:3149
8Vigor Senigallia341213945:4049
9Fossombrone3411111228:3444
10Unipomezia3410121243:4242
11Termoli348151127:3039
12Maceratese341151843:4938
13AS Sora349111440:5038
14Recanatese34881839:5732
15San Marino Calcio34871933:6131
16Calcio Chieti348111531:5524
17Castelfidardo34652330:6523
18Sammaurese34572230:6920