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Atletico Ascoli vs Lanciano FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
9' Event
20'

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ascoli in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atletico Ascoli
15%
Draws
42%
Lanciano FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Ascoli have won more games recently than Lanciano FC.
  • Model gives Atletico Ascoli a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Lanciano FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ascoli Lanciano FC
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 13 3
Draws 10 1
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.53 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Lanciano FC
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ascoli 50 / 100
Lanciano FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ascoli Lanciano FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Ascoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Ascoli scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Lanciano FC has conceded goals in 91% of their last 11 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Atletico Ascoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ascoli VS Lanciano FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ascoli

(Home)
18 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
5 : 1
Lanciano FC
11 Oct
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1
Fossombrone
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

Lanciano FC

(Away)
18 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
5 : 1
Lanciano FC
11 Oct
Lanciano FC
3 : 1
Montecchio Gallo
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4
Lanciano FC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)