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Atletico Ascoli vs Sporting Trestina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Muro A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Atletico Ascoli and Sporting Trestina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Ascoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atletico Ascoli
20%
Draws
29%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Trestina haven't matched Atletico Ascoli's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Ascoli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ascoli Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Sporting Trestina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Muro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sporting Trestina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ascoli 42 / 100
Sporting Trestina 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ascoli Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ascoli found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Sporting Trestina let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Atletico Ascoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Sporting Trestina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ascoli VS Sporting Trestina
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ascoli

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1
Fossombrone
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Trestina

(Away)
04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Notaresco Calcio 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
7 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)