Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Pavone F.
54'
54'
Sbrissa G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Atletico Ascoli and Teramo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Teramo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Teramo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Teramo's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 15%
Teramo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Ascoli | Teramo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli
2:1
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Sbrissa G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Teramo Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavone F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Ascoli 11 / 100
Teramo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Ascoli Teramo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Teramo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Ascoli's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Teramo has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Atletico Ascoli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Ascoli VS Teramo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Ascoli
(Home) 06 Sept
Angelana
2 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
08 Aug
Pineto
1 : 1 Atletico Ascoli
10 May
Teramo
2 : 1 Atletico Ascoli
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1 Teramo
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1 Teramo
19 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1 Fossombrone
02 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 AS Sora
22 Mar
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 0 Maceratese
01 Mar
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 3
Teramo
(Away) 06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3 Teramo
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1 Scafatese
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Teramo
2 : 1 Atletico Ascoli
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1 Teramo
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3 Teramo
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1 Teramo
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
02 Apr
Ancona
0 : 2 Teramo
22 Mar
Aquila Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
