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Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ascoli host Teramo in the Serie D - Group F. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Atletico Ascoli have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Teramo's 2.06 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Atletico Ascoli have won 1 to Teramo's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.06, favoring Teramo. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico Ascoli
15%
Draws
49%
Teramo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Teramo come out ahead of Atletico Ascoli on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%
Teramo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ascoli Teramo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 20
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.53 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli
2:1
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Atletico Ascoli
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ascoli 34 / 100
Teramo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ascoli Teramo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teramo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ascoli found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Teramo let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Atletico Ascoli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ascoli VS Teramo
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ascoli

(Home)
18 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
5 : 1
Lanciano FC
11 Oct
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1
Fossombrone
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

Teramo

(Away)
18 Oct
Teramo
1 : 0
Termoli
11 Oct
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Teramo
07 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 4
Teramo
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4
Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)