Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Astorga vs CD Laguna

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Amor J.
65' Event
Vales I.
86' Event
Alvarez D.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Astorga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Astorga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Atletico Astorga
20%
Draws
0%
CD Laguna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Astorga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Astorga have won more games recently than CD Laguna.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Astorga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletico Astorga here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 68%
CD Laguna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga CD Laguna
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.45 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs CD Laguna
3:0
Nov 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna vs Atletico Astorga
0:4
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna vs Atletico Astorga
0:2
Nov 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs CD Laguna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Astorga Compare

Top Goalscorer Amor J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vales I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

CD Laguna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 95 / 100
CD Laguna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga CD Laguna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Astorga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Laguna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

CD Laguna's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atletico Astorga scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Palencia CF
26 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
21 Aug
Atletico Astorga
1 : 1
Leonesa
15 Aug
La Baneza
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
08 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 7

CD Laguna

(Away)
10 May
CD Laguna
1 : 3
Leonesa B
04 May
Palencia CA
4 : 1
CD Laguna
01 May
CD Laguna
1 : 4
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Mansilles
5 : 0
CD Laguna
20 Apr
CD Laguna
0 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)