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Atletico Astorga vs Gernika Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Astorga host Gernika Club in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Gernika Club have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Atletico Astorga have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.32. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.50, favoring Atletico Astorga. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Atletico Astorga
20%
Draws
58%
Gernika Club
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gernika Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Gernika Club haven't matched Atletico Astorga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gernika Club's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 16%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga Gernika Club
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 15 / 100
Gernika Club 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga Gernika Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gernika Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Astorga scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Gernika Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Atletico Astorga remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Gernika Club registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS Gernika Club
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

Gernika Club

(Away)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Gernika Club
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0
Llanera
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4
Gernika Club
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Sestao 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
4 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
5 Portugalete 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
6 Ourense CF 6 3 1 2 5:7 10
7 Basconia 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
8 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
9 Amorebieta 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Llanera 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Atletico Astorga 6 2 0 4 9:7 6
13 Marino De Luanco 6 2 0 4 8:12 6
14 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
15 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
16 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)