Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026

Gimnastica Segoviana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Astorga play Gimnastica Segoviana in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Astorga averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Gimnastica Segoviana averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Astorga won 1, Gimnastica Segoviana won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Atletico Astorga and 1.19 for Gimnastica Segoviana. This points to a Atletico Astorga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Atletico Astorga

35%

Draws

32%

Gimnastica Segoviana

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico Astorga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Atletico Astorga picked up more points recently compared to Gimnastica Segoviana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 20%

Gimnastica Segoviana Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Astorga	Gimnastica Segoviana
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	12
Draws	9	8
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.27	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Atletico Astorga vs Gimnastica Segoviana

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1

Gimnastica Segoviana vs Atletico Astorga

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Atletico Astorga vs Gimnastica Segoviana

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Gimnastica Segoviana vs Atletico Astorga

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8

Atletico Astorga vs Gimnastica Segoviana

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Astorga Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cervero A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Gimnastica Segoviana Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Llorente F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 34 / 100

Gimnastica Segoviana 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Astorga Gimnastica Segoviana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Astorga or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Astorga attacking → ← attacking Gimnastica Segoviana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Astorga scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Gimnastica Segoviana let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Atletico Astorga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gimnastica Segoviana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 44

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Fabril	34	20	9	5	59:22	69
2	Real Oviedo B	34	16	10	8	50:35	58
3	Numancia	34	15	11	8	46:31	56
4	UD Ourense	34	15	10	9	40:34	55
5	Coruxo FC	34	15	7	12	46:37	52
6	Gimnastica Segoviana	34	14	9	11	37:36	51
7	Real Avila	34	14	8	12	48:52	50
8	Salamanca CF UDS	34	14	8	12	43:36	50
9	Rayo Cantabria	34	11	15	8	63:50	48
10	Bergantinos	34	13	9	12	44:37	48
11	Atletico Astorga	34	12	9	13	41:43	45
12	Marino De Luanco	34	11	12	11	31:26	45
13	Valladolid Promesas	34	12	9	13	59:58	45
14	Langreo	34	11	10	13	35:41	43
15	Sarriana	34	11	7	16	42:42	40
16	Burgos CF B	34	8	12	14	38:55	36
17	Lealtad	34	7	7	20	31:54	28
18	UD Samano	34	3	6	25	23:87	15