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Atletico Astorga vs Marino De Luanco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Hoyos J.
70' Event
Cervero A.
78' Event
Sanchez Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Atletico Astorga and Marino De Luanco finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Astorga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atletico Astorga
15%
Draws
57%
Marino De Luanco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marino De Luanco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Astorga come out ahead of Marino De Luanco on wins alone.
  • Atletico Astorga are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 17%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga Marino De Luanco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Astorga vs Marino De Luanco
3:0
Mar 7, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Astorga vs Marino De Luanco
3:0
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Atletico Astorga
0:1
Feb 8, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Atletico Astorga
2:2
Sep 20, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Astorga vs Marino De Luanco
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Astorga Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoyos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cervero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Marino De Luanco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 41 / 100
Marino De Luanco 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga Marino De Luanco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Astorga found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Marino De Luanco let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Marino De Luanco's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS Marino De Luanco
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

Marino De Luanco

(Away)
03 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)