Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Astorga vs Palencia CF

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
86'

AI Match Summary

Palencia CF in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palencia CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atletico Astorga
15%
Draws
46%
Palencia CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palencia CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Palencia CF have won more games recently than Atletico Astorga.
  • Atletico Astorga are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 14%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Astorga Palencia CF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Atletico Astorga vs Palencia CF
0:1
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Palencia CF
1:0
Jan 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Atletico Astorga
3:2
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Atletico Astorga
0:0
Sep 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Palencia CF
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Astorga 39 / 100
Palencia CF 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Astorga Palencia CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Astorga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palencia CF let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Astorga scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Astorga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Astorga VS Palencia CF
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Astorga

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Palencia CF
26 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
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Palencia CF

(Away)
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Palencia CF
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Palencia CF
08 Aug
Gijon B
1 : 1
Palencia CF
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