Sport Picks
Atletico Atlanta vs Atl. Rafaela Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Don León Kolbowski, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
39'
39'
Alvarez F.
Assist: Quintana A.
46'
46'
Sub
Fernandez M. In: Quiroga M.
Out: Fernandez M.
46'
46'
Sub
Bernardi C. In: Fedele L.
Out: Bernardi C.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Atletico Atlanta and Atl. Rafaela finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Atlanta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Atlanta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atl. Rafaela haven't matched Atletico Atlanta's recent run of results.
- Model gives Atletico Atlanta a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Atlanta | Atl. Rafaela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Atl. Rafaela
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta
2:0
May 19, 2024 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Atl. Rafaela
2:0
Jun 25, 2023 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta
1:0
Feb 21, 2023 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Atl. Rafaela
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Atlanta Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fedele L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Atl. Rafaela Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Atlanta 68 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Atlanta Atl. Rafaela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Atlanta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Atlanta's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Atletico Atlanta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Atl. Rafaela registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Atl. Rafaela let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Atlanta VS Atl. Rafaela
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Atlanta
(Home) 27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0 Agropecuario
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
30 Aug
Atletico Atlanta
0 : 1 San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0 Agropecuario
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0 Club Atletico Guemes
30 Aug
Atletico Atlanta
0 : 1 San Martin S.J.
09 Aug
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0 Temperley
27 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 3 Almagro
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Rafaela
(Away) 27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2 San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
24 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
01 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 36:25 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 49:31 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 40:28 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 44:28 | 50 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 38:25 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 29:26 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:28 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 24:21 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 23:27 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:38 | 36 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 34 |
| 14 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 17:26 | 33 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 16 | CA Mitre | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25:36 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22:34 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 32:15 | 57 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:38 | 54 |
| 3 | Temperley | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:25 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 35:28 | 52 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Midland | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34:26 | 47 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 45 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Atl. Rafaela | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 25:27 | 42 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 34:32 | 40 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30:27 | 38 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 23:29 | 36 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 26:35 | 36 |
| 15 | Almagro | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 26:37 | 35 |
| 16 | Patronato | 31 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 27:31 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
