Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Don León Kolbowski, Buenos Aires

Atletico Atlanta

2 - 0

Atl. Rafaela

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Alvarez F.

Assist: Quintana A.

46'

Sub

Fernandez M. In: Quiroga M.

Out: Fernandez M.

46'

Sub

Bernardi C. In: Fedele L.

Out: Bernardi C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Atletico Atlanta and Atl. Rafaela finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Atlanta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Atletico Atlanta

22%

Draws

18%

Atl. Rafaela

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atletico Atlanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Atl. Rafaela have managed 0.38 goals a game lately — Atletico Atlanta are scoring more at 1.25.
Model gives Atletico Atlanta a 60% chance of winning this.
Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%

Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%

Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Atlanta	Atl. Rafaela
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	13
Draws	5	6
Losses	10	10
Goals Scored	1.25	0.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera Nacional

Atletico Atlanta vs Atl. Rafaela

2:0

Oct 6, 2024 Primera Nacional

Atl. Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta

2:0

May 19, 2024 Primera Nacional

Atletico Atlanta vs Atl. Rafaela

2:0

Jun 25, 2023 Primera Nacional

Atl. Rafaela vs Atletico Atlanta

1:0

Feb 21, 2023 Primera Nacional

Atletico Atlanta vs Atl. Rafaela

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Fedele L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Atl. Rafaela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Atlanta 68 / 100

Atl. Rafaela 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Atlanta Atl. Rafaela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Atlanta's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Atletico Atlanta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Atl. Rafaela registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Atl. Rafaela let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Atlanta VS Atl. Rafaela

1.25 Goals Scored 0.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Atlanta

(Home)

14 Jul

Atletico Atlanta

1 : 0

Colegiales

04 Jul

Quilmes

2 : 1

Atletico Atlanta

20 Jun

Almagro

2 : 0

Atletico Atlanta

13 Jun

Midland

1 : 2

Atletico Atlanta

06 Jun

Atletico Atlanta

3 : 0

Gimnasia Jujuy

Page 1 of 6

Atl. Rafaela

(Away)

17 Jul

Temperley

2 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

11 Jul

Atl. Rafaela

1 : 3

Deportivo Maipu

04 Jul

Almagro

1 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

23 Jun

Nueva Chicago

0 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

14 Jun

Patronato

0 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)