Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Barinas vs Atletico El Vigia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
41' Event
Rodriguez D.
45' Event
Sanchez A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. This leg finished 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Atletico Barinas
35%
Draws
45%
Atletico El Vigia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico El Vigia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico El Vigia have won more games recently than Atletico Barinas.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Atletico El Vigia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Barinas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Atletico Barinas Clean Sheet 11%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Barinas Atletico El Vigia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Atletico Barinas vs Atletico El Vigia
5:2
Sep 2, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
2:1
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
2:0
May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Atletico El Vigia
7:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Atletico Barinas
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Barinas Compare

Top Goalscorer Beltran J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Atletico El Vigia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Barinas 30 / 100
Atletico El Vigia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Barinas Atletico El Vigia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico El Vigia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Barinas scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Atletico El Vigia conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Atletico Barinas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Barinas VS Atletico El Vigia
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Barinas

(Home)
07 Oct
Zamora
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
04 Oct
Urena
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Zamora 2
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Atletico Barinas
3 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello B
Page 1 of 6

Atletico El Vigia

(Away)
06 Oct
Real Frontera
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3
Zamora 2
25 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
1 : 1
Atletico El Vigia
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1
Real Frontera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
2 Atletico Barinas 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Aragua 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
3 Yaracuyanos 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Barquisimeto 5 1 0 4 3:16 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Urena 5 1 3 1 5:7 6
3 Trujillanos 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
4 Lara 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
2 Mineros 5 3 1 1 13:2 10
3 Bolivar 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams