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Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto Prediction & H2H Stats

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Rodriguez D.
48' Event
Ferrer J.
87' Event
Marchan J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Atletico Barinas in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Barinas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atletico Barinas
20%
Draws
57%
Barquisimeto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barquisimeto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Barquisimeto have won more games recently than Atletico Barinas.
  • Barquisimeto are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Barquisimeto here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Atletico Barinas Clean Sheet 15%
Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Barinas Barquisimeto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.87 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto
1:2
Aug 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico Barinas
5:1
May 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico Barinas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Barinas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Barquisimeto Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Barinas 19 / 100
Barquisimeto 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Barinas Barquisimeto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barquisimeto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Barinas found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Barquisimeto let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Atletico Barinas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Barinas VS Barquisimeto
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Barinas

(Home)
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Zamora 2
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Atletico Barinas
3 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello B
17 Sept
Real Frontera
1 : 1
Atletico Barinas
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1
Lara
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Barquisimeto

(Away)
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
16 Sept
Zamora 2
0 : 2
Barquisimeto
12 Sept
Barquisimeto
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello B
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 28 19 6 3 50:20 63
2 Barquisimeto 28 15 8 5 50:28 53
3 Urena 28 12 9 7 41:34 45
4 Yaracuyanos 28 12 7 9 37:27 43
5 Zamora 2 28 11 7 10 45:40 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 29 10 7 12 36:48 37
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 29 8 7 14 36:43 31
8 Atletico Barinas 29 9 4 16 50:61 31
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 23 13 6 4 39:24 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 23 12 5 6 30:18 41
3 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
4 Bolivar 24 11 4 9 29:28 37
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 23 7 8 8 25:25 29
6 Mineros 24 4 9 11 26:31 21
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 23 2 10 11 12:29 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)