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Atletico Barinas vs Zamora Prediction & H2H Stats

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Osorio Y.
47' Event
Osorio Y.
59' Event
Flores J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico Barinas
20%
Draws
40%
Zamora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Barinas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Atletico Barinas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Barinas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Atletico Barinas Clean Sheet 16%
Zamora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Barinas Zamora
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.86 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Atletico Barinas vs Zamora
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Barinas Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Beltran J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Barinas 30 / 100
Zamora 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Barinas Zamora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Barinas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Barinas found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Zamora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Away concern: Zamora has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Barinas VS Zamora
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Barinas

(Home)
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Zamora 2
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Atletico Barinas
3 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello B
17 Sept
Real Frontera
1 : 1
Atletico Barinas
13 Sept
Atletico Barinas
0 : 1
Lara
Page 1 of 6

Zamora

(Away)
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 3
Metropolitanos
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Trujillanos
09 Sept
Real Frontera
0 : 2
Zamora
05 Sept
Portuguesa
1 : 1
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Deportivo Miranda 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Atletico Barinas 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Atletico El Vigia 4 2 0 2 9:12 6
4 Real Frontera 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 4 3 1 0 12:4 10
2 Yaracuyanos 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
3 Aragua 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Barquisimeto 4 1 0 3 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
2 Urena 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
3 Lara 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Trujillanos 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Mineros 4 2 1 1 12:2 7
3 Dynamo Puerto FC 4 1 0 3 2:16 3
4 Bolivar 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams