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Atletico Bermejo vs Ramiro Castillo Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

Atletico Bermejo in this Nacional B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Bermejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atletico Bermejo
15%
Draws
42%
Ramiro Castillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Bermejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ramiro Castillo have won more games recently than Atletico Bermejo.
  • Model gives Ramiro Castillo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nacional B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atletico Bermejo Clean Sheet 17%
Ramiro Castillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Bermejo Ramiro Castillo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ramiro Castillo vs Atletico Bermejo
4:1
Mar 26, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Bermejo vs Ramiro Castillo
1:1
Apr 18, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ramiro Castillo vs Atletico Bermejo
0:1
Mar 8, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Bermejo vs Ramiro Castillo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Bermejo 12 / 100
Ramiro Castillo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Bermejo Ramiro Castillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ramiro Castillo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Bermejo scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Ramiro Castillo let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico Bermejo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Bermejo VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Bermejo

(Home)
12 Nov
Real Potosi
3 : 1
Atletico Bermejo
05 Nov
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0
Real Potosi
22 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
0 : 3
Atletico Bermejo
15 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
01 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 2
San Lorenzo del Beni
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Ramiro Castillo

(Away)
11 Nov
Deportivo Escara
1 : 3
Ramiro Castillo
08 Nov
Deportivo Kala
2 : 7
Ramiro Castillo
04 Nov
Ramiro Castillo
5 : 2
Enrique Happ
25 Oct
Tiquipaya
2 : 0
Ramiro Castillo
18 Oct
Ramiro Castillo
4 : 0
Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciclon 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
2 Atletico Bermejo 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
3 Guabira 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
4 Ramiro Castillo 10 4 1 5 21:22 13
5 Destroyers 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
6 Maestranza 10 1 1 8 11:23 4
Promotion - Liga de Futbol Prof 2015/2016 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga de Futbol Prof 2014/2015 (Relegation)