Sport Picks
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Desportiva Guarabira
Brazil
Paraibano 2 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Atletico Cajazeirense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Desportiva Guarabira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atletico Cajazeirense come out ahead of Desportiva Guarabira on wins alone.
- Desportiva Guarabira are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Atletico Cajazeirense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Atletico Cajazeirense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Atletico Cajazeirense Clean Sheet 10%
Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Cajazeirense | Desportiva Guarabira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.33 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2025 Paraibano 2
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Desportiva Guarabira
3:2
Sep 29, 2025 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs Atletico Cajazeirense
2:2
Aug 28, 2025 Paraibano 2
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Desportiva Guarabira
2:3
Oct 1, 2023 Paraibano 2
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Desportiva Guarabira
7:1
Mar 21, 2018 Paraibano
Desportiva Guarabira vs Atletico Cajazeirense
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Cajazeirense 14 / 100
Desportiva Guarabira 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Cajazeirense Desportiva Guarabira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Atletico Cajazeirense's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Desportiva Guarabira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Atletico Cajazeirense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Cajazeirense VS Desportiva Guarabira
1.75 Goals Scored 1.83
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Cajazeirense
(Home) 22 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2 Confianca PB
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1 Atletico Cajazeirense
11 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2 Botafogo PB
07 Feb
Sousa
2 : 1 Atletico Cajazeirense
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0 Nacional PB
Page 1 of 8
22 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2 Confianca PB
11 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2 Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0 Nacional PB
21 Jan
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0 EC de Patos
08 Oct
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 3 Confianca PB
Page 1 of 4
Desportiva Guarabira
(Away) 05 Oct
Atletico Cajazeirense
3 : 2 Desportiva Guarabira
29 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
2 : 2 Atletico Cajazeirense
25 Sept
Miramar EC
1 : 4 Desportiva Guarabira
21 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 1 Desportiva Guarabira
17 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 0 Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Atletico Cajazeirense
3 : 2 Desportiva Guarabira
25 Sept
Miramar EC
1 : 4 Desportiva Guarabira
21 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 1 Desportiva Guarabira
11 Sept
Miramar EC
1 : 1 Desportiva Guarabira
08 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 2 Desportiva Guarabira
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Atletico Cajazeirense-
TBD-
Miramar EC1
Desportiva Guarabira4
Cruzeiro-PB-
TBD-
Confianca PB1
Sao Paulo Crystal0
Semi-finals
Atletico Cajazeirense5
Desportiva Guarabira4
Cruzeiro-PB2
Confianca PB3
Final
Atletico Cajazeirense1
Confianca PB3