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Atletico Calatayud vs Ebro Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Calatayud in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Calatayud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atletico Calatayud
20%
Draws
57%
Ebro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ebro lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Calatayud.
  • Model gives Ebro a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Atletico Calatayud Clean Sheet 19%
Ebro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Calatayud Ebro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Atletico Calatayud
4:0
Sep 8, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Ebro
1:0
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Ebro
0:2
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Atletico Calatayud
5:2
Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Ebro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Calatayud 10 / 100
Ebro 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Calatayud Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ebro conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Calatayud scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Atletico Calatayud has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Calatayud VS Ebro
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Calatayud

(Home)
26 Sept
Atletico Calatayud
2 : 0
CD Baztan
04 Oct
Atletico Calatayud
1 : 4
Atletic Sant Just FC
27 Sept
Atletic Sant Just FC
3 : 0
Atletico Calatayud
11 May
Atletico Calatayud
0 : 0
Teruel
04 May
SD Ejea
3 : 0
Atletico Calatayud
Page 1 of 6

Ebro

(Away)
26 Sept
Ebro
1 : 0
Terrassa
20 Sept
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Ebro
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza B 40 30 5 5 95:30 95
2 Teruel 40 23 9 8 56:41 78
3 SD Ejea 40 20 12 8 58:29 72
4 Almudevar 40 20 11 9 78:37 71
5 Atletico Monzon 40 20 11 9 65:48 71
6 Tarazona 40 20 10 10 67:52 70
7 Utebo FC 40 21 6 13 57:51 69
8 Borja 40 17 13 10 52:34 64
9 UD Barbastro 40 18 5 17 56:49 59
10 Andorra CF 40 15 12 13 44:42 57
11 Villanueva CF 40 15 12 13 57:47 57
12 Tamarite 39 15 8 16 52:63 53
13 Ebro 40 14 9 17 67:54 51
14 Sabinanigo 40 13 12 15 52:59 51
15 CF Illueca 40 14 7 19 40:51 49
16 CD Cuarte 40 12 12 16 47:53 48
17 Brea 40 11 6 23 39:76 39
18 Atletico Calatayud 40 10 8 22 46:79 38
19 Atletico Escalerillas 39 7 7 25 35:75 28
20 CD Altorricon 40 7 3 30 36:83 24
21 Oliver 40 5 6 29 35:81 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)