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Atletico Calatayud vs Ebro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebro in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Atletico Calatayud
20%
Draws
70%
Ebro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Ebro have won more games recently than Atletico Calatayud.
  • Ebro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atletico Calatayud Clean Sheet 19%
Ebro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Calatayud Ebro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Atletico Calatayud
4:0
Sep 8, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Ebro
1:0
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Ebro
0:2
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Atletico Calatayud
5:2
Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Ebro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Calatayud 10 / 100
Ebro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Calatayud Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Calatayud scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Ebro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Atletico Calatayud has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ebro
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Calatayud

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Calatayud
1 : 4
Atletic Sant Just FC
27 Sept
Atletic Sant Just FC
3 : 0
Atletico Calatayud
11 May
Atletico Calatayud
0 : 0
Teruel
04 May
SD Ejea
3 : 0
Atletico Calatayud
01 May
Atletico Calatayud
1 : 2
Brea
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Ebro

(Away)
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0
Ebro
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarinena 38 24 12 2 71:21 84
2 Andorra CF 38 24 12 2 73:27 84
3 Ebro 38 21 10 7 66:40 73
4 Utebo FC 38 21 9 8 56:26 72
5 Atletico Monzon 38 22 4 12 71:51 70
6 SD Ejea 38 17 11 10 59:40 62
7 Borja 38 15 12 11 46:39 57
8 Tarazona 38 15 8 15 45:45 53
9 CD Cuarte 38 14 11 13 51:47 53
10 Villanueva CF 38 15 7 16 47:48 52
11 Oliver 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
12 Sabinanigo 38 14 5 19 53:53 47
13 Almudevar 38 12 9 17 46:48 45
14 Atletico Escalerillas 38 12 9 17 36:53 45
15 Atletico Calatayud 38 14 2 22 37:52 44
16 UD Barbastro 38 11 10 17 45:59 43
17 La Almunia 38 11 7 20 39:58 40
18 Valdefierro 38 10 9 19 38:50 39
19 Robres 38 7 9 22 41:63 30
20 Binefar 38 5 0 33 20:116 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)