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Atletico Calatayud vs Giner Torrero

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Calatayud play Giner Torrero in the Tercera Division - Group 17 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Calatayud averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. Giner Torrero averaged 0.85 goals scored and 2.97 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Calatayud won 3, Giner Torrero won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 6, 2012 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Atletico Calatayud and 2.19 for Giner Torrero. This points to a Atletico Calatayud double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Atletico Calatayud
18%
Draws
27%
Giner Torrero
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Atletico Calatayud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Calatayud picked up more points recently compared to Giner Torrero.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Atletico Calatayud Clean Sheet 10%
Giner Torrero Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Calatayud Giner Torrero
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 23
Goals Scored 1.28 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Giner Torrero
4:0
Dec 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Giner Torrero vs Atletico Calatayud
1:2
Jan 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Giner Torrero vs Atletico Calatayud
2:0
Sep 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Giner Torrero
1:1
Feb 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs Giner Torrero
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Calatayud 52 / 100
Giner Torrero 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Calatayud Giner Torrero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Calatayud Win (1)
Secondary Pick Atletico Calatayud & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Calatayud attacking → ← attacking Giner Torrero

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Calatayud scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Giner Torrero let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Atletico Calatayud went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Giner Torrero lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 21
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SD Ejea382211576:3777
2Sarinena382210666:2776
3CD Cuarte38219868:4072
4Utebo FC381813757:3367
5Valdefierro381981152:3765
6Sabinanigo381791257:4560
7Atletico Calatayud3815131046:3258
8Villanueva CF381691360:4957
9Binefar3814121245:4154
10UD Barbastro3813121360:6251
11Oliver381491554:5651
12Ebro381481648:5050
13Atletico Monzon3812121443:4948
14Tarazona3812101643:5046
15Robres381291739:5245
16Universidad de Zaragoza381371855:6643
17CD Tauste3810101852:6140
18Giner Torrero38872340:7131
19CD Quinto38792223:6730
20UD San Jose38552834:9320