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Atletico Cearense U20 vs Tiradentes U20

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Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Cearense U20 play Tiradentes U20 in the Cearense U20 2024. Atletico Cearense U20 are favorites here. Recently, Atletico Cearense U20 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Tiradentes U20 averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Cearense U20 won 2, Tiradentes U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 26, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Atletico Cearense U20 and 1.06 for Tiradentes U20. This points to a Atletico Cearense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Atletico Cearense U20
26%
Draws
13%
Tiradentes U20
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Atletico Cearense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Cearense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Tiradentes U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Atletico Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 22%
Tiradentes U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense U20 Tiradentes U20
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 10 0
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2024 Cearense U20
Atletico Cearense U20 vs Tiradentes U20
1:0
Jun 7, 2024 Cearense U20
Tiradentes U20 vs Atletico Cearense U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Cearense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilamar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tiradentes U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense U20 59 / 100
Tiradentes U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense U20 Tiradentes U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Cearense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Atletico Cearense U20 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Cearense U20 attacking → ← attacking Tiradentes U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Cearense U20 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tiradentes U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Atletico Cearense U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tiradentes U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 3
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Acopiara U20862020:320
2Iguatu U20842215:1114
3Icasa U2083056:139
4Crato U2082247:128
5Cariri FC U2081254:135
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Juventus CE U20870117:721
2Santa Cruz CE U20850316:615
3Sao Gerardo U20842215:814
4CA Cearense U2081258:125
5Alvinegro U2080266:292
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ceara U20861127:919
2Tirol U20860215:818
3Atletico Cearense U2083149:1210
4Alianca Futebol Clube U2081347:146
5Tiradentes U2080356:213
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fortaleza U20871036:622
2Ferroviario U20841317:1113
3Itapipoca U20841311:1013
4Caucaia U20830511:159
5Terra e Mar U2080171:341
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Horizonte U20641113:913
2Floresta EC U2062228:68
3Pacatuba U20622210:98
4Itarema U2061143:104