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Atletico Cearense vs Ceara B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes

Ceara B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ceara B have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Atletico Cearense have conceded 1.63 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor Atletico Cearense slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 9, 2024, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.13, favoring Ceara B. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Atletico Cearense

15%

Draws

64%

Ceara B

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ceara B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Ceara B at 1.33 per game, Atletico Cearense at 0.9.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 20%

Ceara B Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Cearense	Ceara B
Matches Played	30	9
Wins	3	3
Draws	12	2
Losses	15	4
Goals Scored	0.9	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.44
Expected Goals (xG)	0.85	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Copa Fares Lopes

Ceara B vs Atletico Cearense

2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense 32 / 100

Ceara B 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Cearense Ceara B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ceara B let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

Atletico Cearense scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Atletico Cearense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense VS Ceara B

0.5 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History