Sport Picks

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Atletico Cearense vs Fortaleza B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
da Rosa J.
50' Event
Andre Carneiro de Melo C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Atletico Cearense
28%
Draws
50%
Fortaleza B
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fortaleza B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Cearense come out ahead of Fortaleza B on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Fortaleza B taking it.
  • Atletico Cearense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 22%
Fortaleza B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense Fortaleza B
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 4 2
Draws 11 3
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Atletico Cearense vs Fortaleza B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Cearense Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Carneiro de Melo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Fortaleza B Compare

Top Goalscorer da Rosa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense 24 / 100
Fortaleza B 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense Fortaleza B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fortaleza B conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico Cearense's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico Cearense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense VS Fortaleza B
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Cearense

(Home)
13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2
Atletico Cearense
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
17 May
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 6

Fortaleza B

(Away)
01 Dec
Fortaleza B
1 : 2
Tirol
23 Nov
Fortaleza B
2 : 1
Ferroviario
15 Nov
Atletico Cearense
1 : 1
Fortaleza B
02 Nov
Itapipoca
2 : 2
Fortaleza B
25 Oct
Fortaleza B
0 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortaleza B41305:46
2Itapipoca41216:55
3Ferroviario41214:45
4Quixada41212:35
5Atletico Cearense41124:54
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceara B43017:39
2Tirol43015:19
3Maracana43014:19
4Vila Real41033:73
5Caucaia40042:90
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)