Sport Picks
Atletico Cearense vs Itapipoca
Brazil
Copa Fares Lopes Domingão, Horizonte 
Match Events
45'
45'
Ball
65'
65'
Ball
68'
68'
Soares J. G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itapipoca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Itapipoca have won more games recently than Atletico Cearense.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Itapipoca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Itapipoca, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 18%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Cearense | Itapipoca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 16 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2026 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Itapipoca
2:3
Mar 25, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Atletico Cearense
2:0
Oct 27, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Atletico Cearense vs Itapipoca
2:0
Mar 20, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Atletico Cearense
3:0
Mar 13, 2025 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Itapipoca
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Cearense Compare
Top Goalscorer Ball
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Itapipoca Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Cearense 32 / 100
Itapipoca 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Cearense Itapipoca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Itapipoca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Itapipoca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Atletico Cearense scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Atletico Cearense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Cearense VS Itapipoca
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Cearense
(Home) 13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2 Atletico Cearense
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1 Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3 Tirol
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4 Atletico Cearense
17 May
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1 Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3 Tirol
02 May
Atletico Cearense
1 : 1 Fluminense-PI
29 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2 Crateus
26 Apr
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2 Ferroviario
Page 1 of 3
Itapipoca
(Away) 14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2 Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0 Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0 Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2 Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0 Itapipoca
Page 1 of 6
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2 Itapipoca
23 May
Crato
2 : 2 Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0 Itapipoca
15 Apr
Atletico Cearense
2 : 3 Itapipoca
05 Apr
Caucaia
3 : 1 Itapipoca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza B | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Itapipoca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 3 | Ferroviario | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Quixada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 5 | Atletico Cearense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Tirol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Maracana | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Vila Real | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Caucaia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
