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Atletico Cearense vs Vila Real - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
51' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Atletico Cearense
15%
Draws
65%
Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Real come out ahead of Atletico Cearense on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Vila Real taking it.
  • Vila Real arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vila Real, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 16%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Cearense Vila Real
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 3 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2026 Copa Fares Lopes
Atletico Cearense vs Vila Real
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Cearense 19 / 100
Vila Real 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Cearense Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Real Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vila Real conceded in 65% of 20 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Cearense scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Atletico Cearense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Cearense VS Vila Real
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Cearense

(Home)
02 Nov
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Vila Real
13 Jun
AE Altos
3 : 2
Atletico Cearense
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
26 May
Atletico Cearense
0 : 3
Tirol
21 May
Barbalha
1 : 4
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 6

Vila Real

(Away)
02 Nov
Atletico Cearense
0 : 2
Vila Real
27 Sept
Acopiara
2 : 1
Vila Real
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)