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Atletico Central vs Castilleja CF

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Atletico Central Logo

Atletico Central

2 - 1
FT
Castilleja CF Logo

Castilleja CF

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sanchez J. A.
50' Event
Navarro A.
83' Event
Sanchez J. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Atletico Central and Castilleja CF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Atletico Central
20%
Draws
19%
Castilleja CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Central carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Central taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Atletico Central Clean Sheet 68%
Castilleja CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Central Castilleja CF
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.15 1
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Atletico Central vs Castilleja CF
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Castilleja CF vs Atletico Central
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J. A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Castilleja CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Central 95 / 100
Castilleja CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Central Castilleja CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castilleja CF has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Atletico Central has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico Central found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Central VS Castilleja CF
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Central

(Home)
06 Sept
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Recreativo Huelva
29 Aug
Cadiz B
0 : 1
Atletico Central
20 Jun
Caudal Deportivo
1 : 1
Atletico Central
14 Jun
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
07 Jun
Dos Hermanas
1 : 4
Atletico Central
Page 1 of 7

Castilleja CF

(Away)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
26 Apr
Castilleja CF
0 : 1
Cordoba B
19 Apr
Chiclana
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)