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Atletico Central vs Frei Paulistano

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
Atletico Central Logo

Atletico Central

0 - 1
FT
Frei Paulistano Logo

Frei Paulistano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Frei Paulistano in this Sergipano 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frei Paulistano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Atletico Central
15%
Draws
64%
Frei Paulistano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frei Paulistano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Central haven't matched Frei Paulistano's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Frei Paulistano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Atletico Central Clean Sheet 10%
Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Central Frei Paulistano
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Sergipano 2
Atletico Central vs Frei Paulistano
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Sergipano 2
Frei Paulistano vs Atletico Central
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Central 10 / 100
Frei Paulistano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Central Frei Paulistano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frei Paulistano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Central scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

Defensive concern: Frei Paulistano conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Atletico Central went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Central VS Frei Paulistano
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Central

(Home)
02 Nov
Atletico Central
0 : 4
Atletico Gloriense
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1
Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2
Atletico Central
15 Oct
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 0
Atletico Central
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1
Independente SE
Page 1 of 5

Frei Paulistano

(Away)
01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4
Frei Paulistano
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1
Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Frei Paulistano
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3
Frei Paulistano
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1
Boca Junior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 9 8 1 0 26:3 25
2 Atletico Gloriense 9 7 1 1 22:2 22
3 Olimpico EC 9 7 1 1 22:5 22
4 Frei Paulistano 9 5 1 3 20:9 16
5 Caninde 9 4 1 4 14:20 13
6 America de Pedrinhas 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
7 Atletico Central 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
8 Flamengo SE 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
9 Independente SE 9 1 2 6 6:23 5
10 Boca Junior 9 1 0 8 4:28 0
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