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Atletico Central vs Independente SE Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sergipano 2
Atletico Central Logo

Atletico Central

1 - 1
FT
Independente SE Logo

Independente SE

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atletico Central
30%
Draws
39%
Independente SE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independente SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Central lately — more wins on the board than Independente SE.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Central taking it.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atletico Central Clean Sheet 19%
Independente SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Central Independente SE
Matches Played 24 22
Wins 9 5
Draws 2 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Sergipano 2
Atletico Central vs Independente SE
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Central 76 / 100
Independente SE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Central Independente SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independente SE let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.

Atletico Central's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico Central remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Central VS Independente SE
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Central

(Home)
02 Nov
Atletico Central
0 : 4
Atletico Gloriense
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1
Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2
Atletico Central
15 Oct
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 0
Atletico Central
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1
Independente SE
Page 1 of 5

Independente SE

(Away)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
Atletico Gloriense
7 : 0
Independente SE
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3
Frei Paulistano
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1
Independente SE
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 9 8 1 0 26:3 25
2 Atletico Gloriense 9 7 1 1 22:2 22
3 Olimpico EC 9 7 1 1 22:5 22
4 Frei Paulistano 9 5 1 3 20:9 16
5 Caninde 9 4 1 4 14:20 13
6 America de Pedrinhas 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
7 Atletico Central 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
8 Flamengo SE 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
9 Independente SE 9 1 2 6 6:23 5
10 Boca Junior 9 1 0 8 4:28 0
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