Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Colina vs Provincial Ovalle

Chile Chile

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Cabrera Figueroa L.
36'
Borquez J.
46'
Sub
Carreno L. In: Oyarzo L.
Out: Carreno L.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Atletico Colina and Provincial Ovalle finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Colina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Atletico Colina
11%
Draws
9%
Provincial Ovalle
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Atletico Colina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Provincial Ovalle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Colina's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico Colina Clean Sheet 68%
Provincial Ovalle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Colina Provincial Ovalle
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Segunda Division
Provincial Ovalle vs Atletico Colina
2:1
May 2, 2026 Segunda Division
Atletico Colina vs Provincial Ovalle
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Colina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochoa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Provincial Ovalle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Colina 86 / 100
Provincial Ovalle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Colina Provincial Ovalle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Colina scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Provincial Ovalle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Provincial Ovalle registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Colina VS Provincial Ovalle
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Colina

(Home)
12 Jul
Atletico Colina
5 : 1
Real San Joaquin
04 Jul
Provincial Ovalle
2 : 1
Atletico Colina
27 Jun
Concon National
1 : 1
Atletico Colina
21 Jun
Atletico Colina
1 : 2
Brujas Salamanca
06 Jun
Santiago City
1 : 0
Atletico Colina
Page 1 of 6

Provincial Ovalle

(Away)
04 Jul
Provincial Ovalle
2 : 1
Atletico Colina
26 Jun
Santiago City
3 : 2
Provincial Ovalle
21 Jun
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 6
Real San Joaquin
08 Jun
Provincial Ovalle
1 : 1
Trasandino
30 May
Concon National
1 : 0
Provincial Ovalle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brujas Salamanca1257011:522
2Concon National1263316:1021
3Santiago City1255218:1920
4Trasandino1253419:1718
5Real San Joaquin1234516:1713
6Atletico Colina1233615:1412
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Qualification - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osorno1266015:524
2Colchagua CD1264215:1122
3Linares Unido1261516:1219
4General Velasquez1251611:1516
5Lota Schwager1234511:1313
6Deportes Rengo1232710:1711
7S. Morning122469:1410
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Qualification - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division (Relegation Group)