Sport Picks
Atletico CP vs Mafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Estádio da Tapadinha, Lisbon 
Match Events
2'
2'
Niang M.
13'
13'
Santana C.
46'
46'
Sub
Lourenco B. In: Sousa C.
Out: Lourenco B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
30%
32%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico CP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Atletico CP have won more games recently than Mafra.
- Model gives Atletico CP a 38% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%
Mafra Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico CP | Mafra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Mafra
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Mafra
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 3
Mafra vs Atletico CP
1:0
Apr 2, 2016 Liga Portugal 2
Atletico CP vs Mafra
1:1
Nov 8, 2015 Liga Portugal 2
Mafra vs Atletico CP
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico CP Compare
Top Goalscorer Santana C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Mafra Compare
Top Goalscorer Niang M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico CP 86 / 100
Mafra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico CP Mafra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico CP's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Atletico CP stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Mafra let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Atletico CP VS Mafra
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico CP
(Home) 31 Oct
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Santarem
25 Oct
Louletano
2 : 2 Atletico CP
17 Oct
Atletico CP
1 : 0 Vizela
11 Oct
Atletico CP
4 : 1 Caldas SC
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1 Lagoa
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Santarem
17 Oct
Atletico CP
1 : 0 Vizela
11 Oct
Atletico CP
4 : 1 Caldas SC
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1 Lagoa
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Oliveirense
Page 1 of 3
Mafra
(Away) 31 Oct
Mafra
2 : 1 Louletano
24 Oct
Caldas SC
3 : 3 Mafra
18 Oct
Mafra
3 : 2 Santa Clara
11 Oct
Mafra
2 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2 Tirsense
Page 1 of 7
24 Oct
Caldas SC
3 : 3 Mafra
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1 Mafra
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3 Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1 Mafra
15 Aug
Atletico CP
1 : 1 Mafra
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 14 |
| 3 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Leca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Sao Joao de Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 8 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 10 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:15 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Santarem | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 13 |
| 4 | Mafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 12 |
| 5 | Caldas SC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 9 | Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Lusitano GC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:11 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
