Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico CP vs Oliveirense

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estádio da Tapadinha, Lisbon
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Caleb
28'
Traore S.
44' Event
Konate M.
Assist: Caleb

AI Match Summary

Atletico CP in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico CP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Atletico CP
15%
Draws
36%
Oliveirense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico CP have won more games recently than Oliveirense.
  • Atletico CP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 68%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico CP Oliveirense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Oliveirense
3:1
Mar 16, 2016 Liga Portugal 2
Atletico CP vs Oliveirense
4:1
Oct 31, 2015 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Atletico CP
1:1
Mar 7, 2015 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Atletico CP
1:0
Oct 1, 2014 Liga Portugal 2
Atletico CP vs Oliveirense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico CP Compare

Top Goalscorer Caleb
1 Goals
Assists Leader Konate M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Oliveirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico CP 95 / 100
Oliveirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico CP Oliveirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico CP's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Oliveirense conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico CP has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico CP VS Oliveirense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico CP

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
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Oliveirense

(Away)
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2
Penafiel
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Oliveirense
4 : 0
Penalva do Castelo
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 AD Marco 09 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
3 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
4 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
5 SC Vianense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
6 Leca 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Louletano 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
6 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 Lusitano GC 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Covilha 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
9 Santarem 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
10 Vitoria Sernache 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)