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Atletico CP vs Santarem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estádio da Tapadinha, Lisbon
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico CP host Santarem in the Liga 3. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Santarem have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Atletico CP have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.34. Past meetings favor Santarem slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.13) back Atletico CP to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Atletico CP
15%
Draws
36%
Santarem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico CP have won more games recently than Santarem.
  • Win probability leans Atletico CP's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Atletico CP Clean Sheet 20%
Santarem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico CP Santarem
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Liga 3
Santarem vs Atletico CP
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Santarem
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Liga 3
Atletico CP vs Santarem
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Liga 3
Santarem vs Atletico CP
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico CP 67 / 100
Santarem 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico CP Santarem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico CP scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Santarem conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Atletico CP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico CP VS Santarem
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico CP

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Montijo
0 : 4
Atletico CP
22 Aug
Covilha
0 : 3
Atletico CP
Page 1 of 6

Santarem

(Away)
09 Oct
Santarem
3 : 0
Lusitano GC
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 6 4 1 1 11:7 13
2 Leca 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 AD Marco 09 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 SC Vianense 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
6 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Mafra 6 2 2 2 11:7 8
5 Louletano 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
6 Santarem 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
7 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
8 Covilha 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
9 Lusitano GC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
10 Vitoria Sernache 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)