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Atletico de Marbella vs Arenas Armilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
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Match Events

35' Event
Grasa J.
90' Event
Garcia M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Atletico de Marbella and Arenas Armilla finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arenas Armilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Atletico de Marbella
30%
Draws
51%
Arenas Armilla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arenas Armilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arenas Armilla come out ahead of Atletico de Marbella on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Atletico de Marbella Clean Sheet 20%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Marbella Arenas Armilla
Matches Played 5 28
Wins 1 13
Draws 1 8
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 0.4 1.32
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Marbella vs Arenas Armilla
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico de Marbella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Arenas Armilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Grasa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Marbella 36 / 100
Arenas Armilla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Marbella Arenas Armilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenas Armilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Armilla let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atletico de Marbella scored in 40% of their last 5 outings.

Atletico de Marbella has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Marbella VS Arenas Armilla
0.29 Goals Scored 1.25
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
29% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Marbella

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Cantoria
1 : 1
Atletico de Marbella
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2
Arenas Armilla

Arenas Armilla

(Away)
04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1
Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2
Arenas Armilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 CD Alhaurino 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
10 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
11 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
15 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)