Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico de Marbella vs Mancha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Diop A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Atletico de Marbella and Mancha finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico de Marbella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Atletico de Marbella
30%
Draws
23%
Mancha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico de Marbella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mancha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atletico de Marbella are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Atletico de Marbella Clean Sheet 20%
Mancha Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Marbella Mancha
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 1 6
Draws 1 8
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 0.4 0.83
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Marbella vs Mancha
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico de Marbella Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Mancha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Marbella 40 / 100
Mancha 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Marbella Mancha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico de Marbella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mancha let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Mancha's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Atletico de Marbella scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Marbella VS Mancha
0.33 Goals Scored 1.13
0.83 Goals Conceded 1
33% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Marbella

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Cantoria
1 : 1
Atletico de Marbella
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2
Arenas Armilla

Mancha

(Away)
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0
Mancha
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)