Sport Picks
Atletico de Porcuna vs Churriana de la Vega - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
26'
26'
Borrego A.
42'
42'
Ortiz Arestoy J. M.
48'
48'
Hervas R.
AI Match Summary
Churriana de la Vega in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Churriana de la Vega.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico de Porcuna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Atletico de Porcuna have won more games recently than Churriana de la Vega.
- Churriana de la Vega are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Churriana de la Vega have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 14%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico de Porcuna | Churriana de la Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Churriana de la Vega
2:3
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Churriana de la Vega
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico de Porcuna Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz Arestoy J. M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Coca M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Churriana de la Vega Compare
Top Goalscorer Hervas R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fernandez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico de Porcuna 15 / 100
Churriana de la Vega 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico de Porcuna Churriana de la Vega
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Churriana de la Vega Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico de Porcuna found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Churriana de la Vega's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Churriana de la Vega has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico de Porcuna VS Churriana de la Vega
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico de Porcuna
(Home) 04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 Churriana de la Vega
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1 Granada CF B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Cantoria
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 Churriana de la Vega
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1 Granada CF B
06 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Cantoria
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 UD San Pedro
Page 1 of 3
Churriana de la Vega
(Away) 04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 Churriana de la Vega
27 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 3 UD San Pedro
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1 Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 Churriana de la Vega
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 Churriana de la Vega
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
24 May
Motril
0 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2 Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Almeria B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Malaga B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Granada CF B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Churriana de la Vega | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 9 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Torre del Mar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 11 | CD Alhaurino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 13 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 14 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)
