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Atletico de Porcuna vs Granada CF B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Arnedo A.
64' Event
Coca M.
72' Event
Torres A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Atletico de Porcuna and Granada CF B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico de Porcuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atletico de Porcuna
15%
Draws
46%
Granada CF B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Granada CF B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico de Porcuna come out ahead of Granada CF B on wins alone.
  • Granada CF B are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Granada CF B have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 10%
Granada CF B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Porcuna Granada CF B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Granada CF B
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Granada CF B vs Atletico de Porcuna
3:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Granada CF B
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico de Porcuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Coca M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Granada CF B Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnedo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Porcuna 18 / 100
Granada CF B 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Porcuna Granada CF B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Granada CF B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Atletico de Porcuna scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Granada CF B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Atletico de Porcuna went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Porcuna VS Granada CF B
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Porcuna

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3
Churriana de la Vega
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1
Granada CF B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Cantoria
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Granada CF B

(Away)
03 Oct
Malaga B
2 : 0
Granada CF B
27 Sept
Granada CF B
2 : 0
Cantoria
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1
Granada CF B
13 Sept
Granada CF B
4 : 0
UD San Pedro
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Almeria B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Marbelli 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
4 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
6 Malaga B 6 3 1 2 12:6 10
7 Granada CF B 6 3 1 2 9:5 10
8 Churriana de la Vega 6 3 0 3 12:9 9
9 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
10 Torre del Mar 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
11 CD Alhaurino 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
13 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
14 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
15 Atletico de Marbella 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
17 Mancha 6 0 2 4 3:10 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)