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Atletico de Porcuna vs Huetor Vega

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Garcia J.
21' Event
Ruiz O.
45' Event
Echu

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atletico de Porcuna
39%
Draws
30%
Huetor Vega
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico de Porcuna lately — more wins on the board than Huetor Vega.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 16%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Porcuna Huetor Vega
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Huetor Vega
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Atletico de Porcuna
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Atletico de Porcuna
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Huetor Vega
1:1
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico de Porcuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Huetor Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Echu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grasa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Porcuna 31 / 100
Huetor Vega 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Porcuna Huetor Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Huetor Vega conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Atletico de Porcuna found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Atletico de Porcuna went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Porcuna VS Huetor Vega
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Porcuna

(Home)
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3
UD San Pedro
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6

Huetor Vega

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1
Marbelli
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1
Huetor Vega
12 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)