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Atletico de Porcuna vs Huetor Vega Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Garcia J.
21' Event
Ruiz O.
45' Event
Echu

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Atletico de Porcuna
20%
Draws
36%
Huetor Vega
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico de Porcuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico de Porcuna lately — more wins on the board than Huetor Vega.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Huetor Vega taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 16%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Porcuna Huetor Vega
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Huetor Vega
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Atletico de Porcuna
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Atletico de Porcuna
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Huetor Vega
1:1
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico de Porcuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Huetor Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Echu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grasa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Porcuna 19 / 100
Huetor Vega 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Porcuna Huetor Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Vega Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico de Porcuna found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Huetor Vega conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Atletico de Porcuna went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Porcuna VS Huetor Vega
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Porcuna

(Home)
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1
Granada CF B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Cantoria
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 7

Huetor Vega

(Away)
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)