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Atletico de Porcuna vs Mancha Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Atletico de Porcuna
20%
Draws
20%
Mancha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico de Porcuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico de Porcuna lately — more wins on the board than Mancha.
  • Win probability leans Mancha's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 16%
Mancha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico de Porcuna Mancha
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.32 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Mancha
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Atletico de Porcuna
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Mancha
1:1
Aug 14, 2022 Club Friendly
Atletico de Porcuna vs Mancha
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico de Porcuna 28 / 100
Mancha 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico de Porcuna Mancha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mancha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico de Porcuna's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mancha conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Mancha has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Atletico de Porcuna VS Mancha
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico de Porcuna

(Home)
27 Sept
Almeria B
4 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
20 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 1
Granada CF B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Cantoria
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 7

Mancha

(Away)
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Mancha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)