Sport Picks
Atletico de Porcuna vs UD San Pedro
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
7'
7'
Valero J.
(Penalty)
43'
43'
Almagro D.
51'
51'
Almagro D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Atletico de Porcuna and UD San Pedro finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD San Pedro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: UD San Pedro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- UD San Pedro have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Atletico de Porcuna are scoring more at 1.5.
- Model gives UD San Pedro a 60% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- UD San Pedro have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 16%
UD San Pedro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico de Porcuna | UD San Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs UD San Pedro
2:3
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:0
Jan 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs UD San Pedro
2:0
Sep 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Atletico de Porcuna
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico de Porcuna Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez G. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
UD San Pedro Compare
Top Goalscorer Almagro D.
2 Goals Assists Leader McLoughlin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico de Porcuna 19 / 100
UD San Pedro 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico de Porcuna UD San Pedro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atletico de Porcuna scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
UD San Pedro let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Atletico de Porcuna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico de Porcuna VS UD San Pedro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico de Porcuna
(Home) 10 May
Motril
2 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 UD San Pedro
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0 Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 UD San Pedro
04 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
3 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
01 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
0 : 0 Mancha
22 Mar
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 2 Huetor Vega
Page 1 of 3
UD San Pedro
(Away) 10 May
UD San Pedro
2 : 1 Arenas Armilla
03 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1 UD San Pedro
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0 CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 UD San Pedro
12 Apr
UD San Pedro
0 : 0 Torre del Mar
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1 UD San Pedro
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3 UD San Pedro
05 Apr
El Palo
0 : 2 UD San Pedro
01 Apr
Melilla B
1 : 1 UD San Pedro
15 Mar
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 1 UD San Pedro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)